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Elections Prediction Markets

Clacton by-election winner?
Reform UK
Count Binface Party
$496,735 vol
Clacton by-election margin of victory?
Reform UK, ≥50%
Reform UK, ≥60%
$31,591 vol
Next French presidential election winner?
Marine Le Pen
Édouard Philippe
$422,038 vol
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Andy Burnham
Rupert Lowe
$2,842,470 vol
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
Delcy Rodríguez
$9,987,789 vol
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?
Flavio Bolsonaro
Renan Santos
Oct 4 @ 12:00 PM
Early elections in the UK announced?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jan 1, 2027
$103,478 vol
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Flávio Bolsonaro
Oct 4 @ 12:00 PM
Which party will win the next UK general election?
Labour party
Reform party
$459,533 vol
Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Sep 1, 2026
$15,011 vol
When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?
Before 2029
Before 2028
$4,554 vol
New Zealand general election winner?
Labour
National
Nov 7 @ 1:30 PM
Will Iran hold a presidential election?
$90,645 vol
Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru Nazare
Delia Velculescu
$83,855 vol
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Lula da Silva, ≥15%
Lula da Silva, 5-10%
Oct 4 @ 12:00 PM
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
Gadi Eizenkot
Benjamin Netanyahu
$102,856 vol
Saxony-Anhalt state election winner?
AfD
BSW
Sep 6 @ 4:00 AM
São Toméan presidential election winner?
Carlos Vila Nova
Nito D’Abreu
$186 vol
Taiwan Local Elections winner?
Kuomintang
Democratic Progressive Party
Nov 28 @ 5:00 AM
When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?
Before Jun 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
$245,057 vol
Who will the next Pope be?
Luis Antonio Tagle
Pietro Parolin
$267,186 vol
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
Gadi Eisenkot
Naftali Bennett
$208,506 vol
Mongolian presidential election winner?
Gombojavyn Zandanshatar
Odongiin Tsogtgerel
$63,068 vol
Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
$17,719 vol
Ghana presidential election winner?
Asiedu Nketia
Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang
$21,487 vol
Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum
Aug 29 @ 12:30 PM
Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?
$165,025 vol
Alberta Separation Process Referendum
Oct 19 @ 12:30 PM
Argentina presidential election winner?
Javier Milei
Axel Kicillof
$46,020 vol
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Argentine Senate election?
Propuesta Republicana
No
Unión Cívica Radical
No
$0 vol
Australian House election winner?
Australian Labor Party
Liberal-National Coalition
$33,996 vol
Australian Senate election winner?
Australian Labor Party
Liberal-National Coalition
$3,741 vol